{"id":2876,"date":"2023-11-26T22:02:56","date_gmt":"2023-11-26T22:02:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/?p=2876"},"modified":"2025-07-29T20:25:38","modified_gmt":"2025-07-29T20:25:38","slug":"models-of-behaviour-change-e-g-tpb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/models-of-behaviour-change-e-g-tpb\/","title":{"rendered":"Models of Behaviour Change (e.g. TPB)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">(habitat <a data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.worldwildlife.org\/species\/polar-bear\" href=\"https:\/\/www.worldwildlife.org\/species\/polar-bear\">threatened<\/a> by human behaviour &#8211; image <a data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/photos\/icebear-iceberg-ice-floe-north-pole-2199534\/\" href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/photos\/icebear-iceberg-ice-floe-north-pole-2199534\/\">credit<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The first thing to know about changing behaviour:<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Behaviour is important. What we do matters. It matters for our health (how we eat, sleep, exercise, and socialize#up), it matters for companies (will people buy our thing?) and for countries (how many people will work, consume, pay taxes, vote for good leaders) and the world (wars and global climate change all depend on our behaviour).<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. Loneliness (which is a psychological state, not the number of people in a room with us) is as <a data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.hhs.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/surgeon-general-social-connection-advisory.pdf\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hhs.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/surgeon-general-social-connection-advisory.pdf\">bad for our health as smoking<\/a> 15 cigarettes a day<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Behaviour is important but also often very difficult to change. We humans are very prone to settling into patterns: we tend to be very stable in what we eat and wear, the transport we use, the exercise we do (and don&#8217;t) get, the things we do for fun, etc. Even when our lives feel like they are changing we are still usually doing a lot of the same things &#8211; it&#8217;s just that we naturally and sensibly pay more attention to the parts that are new.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you&#8217;ve had a time in your life when nearly everything has changed it was probably a major transition: moving countries, starting a new job or school, or being in a really difficult place socially or psychologically.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"chatty wp-block-paragraph\">Changing behaviour is hard, but lots of people spend a lot of time, energy, and money trying to do it: marketers, health and environmental campaigners, politicians, etc (&#8220;buy my thing, eat healthier food, use less polluting transit, vote&#8221;, etc)&#8230; But they are often frustrated with the small returns on their efforts. The good news is that sometimes many small changes can add together to make a big difference, but the bad news is that sometimes they don&#8217;t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Models of behaviour change:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Because changing behaviour can be so important, quite a few models have been developed to help predict when and how this happens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We will focus on one family of such models#up. It has several well-known models, with names such as the &#8220;Theory of Reasoned Action&#8221;, &#8220;Uses and Gratifications Theory&#8221;, and the &#8220;Technology Acceptance Model&#8221; <span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-SPYSL3DY--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': 'np', 'items': '{4193465:SPYSL3DY}', 'format': '(for a quick overview see: %a%, %d%, %p%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span>, but we will focus on the best known of them all, the Theory of Planned Behaviour <span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-GQACXLNB-_-4193465-GRRSULSC--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': 'np', 'items': '{4193465:GQACXLNB},{4193465:GRRSULSC}', 'format': '(%a%, %d%, %p%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span>, or &#8220;TPB&#8221;. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. Just for breadth, we'll show you what another kind looks like, too, at the <a data-type=\"internal\" data-id=\"#progression-models\" href=\"#progression-models\">bottom of this page<\/a><\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Once we&#8217;ve learned the TPB, we&#8217;ll <a href=\"#related-models\" data-type=\"internal\" data-id=\"#related-models\">show you quickly how it compares<\/a> to some of its cousins &#8211; the models in this family are so similar that understanding one should make the others easy to pick up, if you ever need them. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Theory of Planned Behaviour<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This model identifies three main influences on how and why people make decisions: attitudes, subjective norms, and perceived behavioural control. It also has a specific formula for how these ingredients combine together. It looks like this:<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/TPB-model-outline-optimized-image.svg\" alt=\"Boxes called &quot;Attitude&quot; and &quot;Subjective Norm&quot; and &quot;Perceived Behavioural Control&quot; all point to a fourth box called &quot;Behavioural intention&quot;, which then points at a fifth called &quot;behaviour&quot;. There is a further dotted line joining perceived behavioural control to behaviour.\" class=\"wp-image-3137\" style=\"width:700px\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All clear? Moving on then!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">(we joke!)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Let&#8217;s unravel this from bottom to top.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Behaviour, in the bottom rectangle, is the final outcome that this model tries to predict. For our textbook purposes this behaviour is probably some form of consuming, but it doesn&#8217;t have to be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The box in the middle is for &#8220;intentions&#8221;. The model claims that our intentions will predict our behaviour. This tells us two things:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">1) the model doesn&#8217;t claim that intentions and behaviour are the same thing. This will be familiar to everyone who has intended to go to eat a salad then go to the gym, yet who instead ended up on the couch with a plate of fries. The claim is that our intentions tend to guide our behaviour, but not that they are automatically successful at doing this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2)&nbsp; This is a model of what people intend to do, not of their habits or impulses. It&#8217;s not that we don&#8217;t have habits, only that this model doesn&#8217;t try to explain them. It is, after all, the theory of <strong>planned<\/strong> behaviour; It is very much about system 2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The three rectangles at the top are labelled &#8220;attitude&#8221;, &#8220;subjective norms&#8221;, and &#8220;perceived behavioural control&#8221;. Let us allow Ajzen himself to define them for us (complete with American spellings):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group definition_block has-background is-content-justification-left is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-14d7fe8f wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\" style=\"background-color:#fcb90017\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"definition_term wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Attitude towards behaviour<\/strong><\/p>\n<cite><span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-GRRSULSC--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': '188', 'items': '{4193465:GRRSULSC}', 'format': '(%a%, %d%, %p%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span><\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"definition_definition wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;The degree to which a person has a favorable or unfavorable evaluation or appraisal of the behavior in question.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group definition_block has-background is-content-justification-left is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-14d7fe8f wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\" style=\"background-color:#fcb90017\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"definition_term wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Subjective norm towards behaviour<\/strong><\/p>\n<cite><span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-GRRSULSC--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': '188', 'items': '{4193465:GRRSULSC}', 'format': '(%a%, %d%, %p%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span><\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"definition_definition wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;The perceived social pressure to perform or not to perform the behavior.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group definition_block has-background is-content-justification-left is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-14d7fe8f wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\" style=\"background-color:#fcb90017\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"definition_term wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Perceived behavioural control towards behaviour<\/strong><\/p>\n<cite><span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-GRRSULSC--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': '188', 'items': '{4193465:GRRSULSC}', 'format': '(%a%, %d%, %p%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span><\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"definition_definition wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;The perceived ease or difficulty of performing the behavior&#8230; it is assumed to reflect past experience as well as anticipated impediments and obstacles.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In other words, if the question is whether you will form an intention to buy a salmon roll for dinner, then this decision might be shaped by:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Your attitude:<\/strong> Do you think that they are good things to eat? Yummy, perhaps, and healthy? Or bland and too fancy?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Your subjective norms:<\/strong> Is this the sort of thing that I&#8217;m supposed to do? Would people care? Think it is interesting or pretentious? Reference groups often provide strong cues here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Your perceived control:<\/strong> Can I afford it? Is it cheap? Can I find a place that makes a good one?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted\"><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You will be reassured to know that there is a lot of research suggesting that these 3 factors, taken together, do a fairly good job of predicting people&#8217;s actions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Also note, the models shows a dotted line from control to behaviour. This is meant to suggest that sometimes we can&#8217;t do a behaviour purely because the situation does not allow it as an option, no matter our intentions. This is not the model focuses (hence the line being drawn only in dots), but the model acknowledges that this does happen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-pb-accordion-item c-accordion__item js-accordion-item no-js understand\" data-initially-open=\"false\" data-click-to-close=\"true\" data-auto-close=\"true\" data-scroll=\"false\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\"><h5 id=\"at-28760\" class=\"c-accordion__title js-accordion-controller\" role=\"button\">FAQ: Do all three matter in every case?<\/h5><div id=\"ac-28760\" class=\"c-accordion__content\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Not at all. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In some cases the only thing that matters is your attitude towards an object &#8211; this is probably the case for a lot of consumption. For instance, if you are buying a portable USB flash drive, the only real consideration is likely to be how well you think it will work. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"500\" height=\"274\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/flash-drive-usb-3032197_640.jpg\" alt=\"A USB flash drive on a white background. It is black with a USB A head that could plug into a computer\" class=\"wp-image-3055\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/flash-drive-usb-3032197_640.jpg 500w, https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/flash-drive-usb-3032197_640-300x164.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">You probably aren&#8217;t too worried about what people will think, or how possible it is to get (<a href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/photos\/usb-flash-drive-black-computer-3032197\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/photos\/usb-flash-drive-black-computer-3032197\/\">credit<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In other cases you might consider any two of these forces (&#8220;if I can get the right new sweater for the office party, people would probably like it&#8221;), or all three of them together.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So far so good&#8230; But if you are a cynic you might be wondering if there is anything really new here. We already know that people liking things and culture matter, so are we just making a big checklist here?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Partly yes, but the theory does also have some more handy things to say. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Let&#8217;s draw a bigger picture:<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/TPB-model-optimized-image-1.svg\" alt=\"Summary of the TPB model. On the left boxes called Belief 1 and Belief 2 both have components called &quot;Belief strength x Evaluation&quot;, and have arrows leading to sigmas (meaning sum them) and then to a box called Attitude. On the top there are green boxes. Again, Belief 1 and 2 have components &quot;Norm strength x Motivation to comply&quot;, and are summed with a sigma to produce a box called Subjective Norm. To the right are pink boxes. Here Beliefs 1 and 2 have components &quot;Control belief x Perceived power&quot;, and are summed into Perceived Behavioural Control. Those 3 summed boxes (attitude, norms, and control) in turn lead to a sigma that sums them into a box called &quot;Behavioural intention&quot;, which leads to a further box called &quot;behaviour&quot;. There is one further dotted arrow from Control to Behaviour\" class=\"wp-image-3119\" style=\"width:800px\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">The Theory of Planned Behaviour<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Don&#8217;t worry, we&#8217;ll walk you through it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Attitudes, norms, and control: What are they made of?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">TPB has some pretty specific ideas about what goes into making up people&#8217;s attitudes, norms, and perceived control, but this is where the explanations gets complicated enough that it is helpful to walk through an example.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So let&#8217;s say that you are deciding between two choices for where to go on holiday. Option 1 is a friend who has invited you to an island in the Maldives, and option 2 is to hop on a train across the UK (let&#8217;s say you start in Manchester), to an English beach in Skegness, Lincolnshire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Option 1<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"428\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/maldives-beach-colin-watts-M1ObxvsWVhY-unsplash.jpg\" alt=\"A beach in the Maldives. Shallow aquamarine water laps on white sand, while palm trees frame the backdrop, and a fishing boat with a small tiki roof floats just at the point where the gently sloping sand gets deeper underwater\" class=\"wp-image-3058\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/maldives-beach-colin-watts-M1ObxvsWVhY-unsplash.jpg 640w, https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/maldives-beach-colin-watts-M1ObxvsWVhY-unsplash-300x201.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">An island in the Maldives, 750km south of India (<a data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/unsplash.com\/photos\/boat-on-body-of-water-under-cloudy-sky-M1ObxvsWVhY\" href=\"https:\/\/unsplash.com\/photos\/boat-on-body-of-water-under-cloudy-sky-M1ObxvsWVhY\">credit<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Option 2:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"428\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/Skegness-s-iStock-1294177557.jpg\" alt=\"An aerial photo of the beach at Skegness, Lincolnshire, England. There is a yellow sand beach, blue ocean, and lighter blue sky. In the foreground are the rooves of several buildings, and a small pond with a cluster of floating peddle boats\" class=\"wp-image-3057\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/Skegness-s-iStock-1294177557.jpg 640w, https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/Skegness-s-iStock-1294177557-300x201.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Skegness, Lincolnshire, UK. A 6-hour train ride west of Manchester (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.istockphoto.com\/photo\/aerial-photo-of-the-town-centre-of-skegness-showing-the-pier-on-the-sandy-beach-near-gm1294177557-388270537\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.istockphoto.com\/photo\/aerial-photo-of-the-town-centre-of-skegness-showing-the-pier-on-the-sandy-beach-near-gm1294177557-388270537\">iStock<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Which does the TPB say you will choose? Let&#8217;s look at how each of its 3 ingredients works:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Composition of attitudes:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Recall that your &#8220;attitude&#8221; towards a thing is how much you like it#up. There&#8217;s a very old idea that our attitude towards a thing are heavily influenced by our beliefs towards it (e.g., &#8220;I like tofu because I believe it doesn&#8217;t taste of much, but is better for the planet than eating meat&#8221;). This is useful because it suggests that you can work out why people have the attitudes that they do, and then how to change them (i.e., by changing their beliefs).<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. At least, that's what psychologists mean. It has other uses in normal English (\"he has a good attitude\", etc)<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Before we explore how TPB uses this idea, there are some obvious questions for us to ask:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">First question: Is it really true that attitudes are made up of beliefs? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The evidence suggests that this they are&#8230; although (as with most things in psychology) they are not100% of the story; Sometimes we have a positive attitude towards a thing for pretty random reasons (it just because it reminds us of something else, or we had a good experience with it years ago that we&#8217;ve mostly forgotten). But changing people&#8217;s beliefs about things does seem to change their attitudes towards it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Second question: How do you convert &#8220;I have beliefs about a thing&#8221; into &#8220;I have feelings about that thing&#8221;?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">TPB has a formula for how to combine beliefs that can be written down as a mathematical formula. We&#8217;ll show this to you soon, but first we&#8217;ll describe it in normal English and show you what how it might work for our holiday-choosing example.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you list it out step by step, the TPB approach to attitudes works like this:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Identify 2-4 of your most salient beliefs about each holiday option.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>These might be good things like &#8220;it will be relaxing&#8221; or &#8220;I could meet attractive people at the beach&#8221;, or bad things like &#8220;I could get a sunburn&#8221;.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Come up with a number to describe how positive or negative each of those beliefs is (say from -5 to +5, where 0 is neutral)\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>A beach that looks incredibly relaxing might score as +5, and the idea of getting a sunburn might get a -2 (or much lower if you are really worried about skin cancer). <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Come up with a number to describe how strong each of those beliefs are. Perhaps from 1 (unlikely to happen) to 10 (certain to happen)\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>If you&#8217;ve been to the Maldives before then you might be very confident in your judgment of how relaxing it is. If you haven&#8217;t, though, then you might have a lot of uncertainties (including about how safe it is, how easy it is to find your way around, how much there is to do there, etc. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Beliefs that you hold with more certainty should inform your attitudes more strongly (e.g., &#8220;yes, I suppose it&#8217;s technically possible that I&#8217;ll meet a millionaire genius supermodel at the beach, who wants to marry me. That would be nice, but I&#8217;m not counting on it&#8221;).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>For each belief you multiply the score from step 2 by the score from step 3. This gives a new score for how strongly positive or negative the belief is\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Multiplying two scores together has a very useful property. It produces a very high number if both scores are high (e.g. 5 X 10 = 50), and a much lower score if only one of them is high (5 x 1 = 5), and a tiny score if they are both low (0 X 1 = 0). Obviously, 5 is bigger than 0, but 50 is <strong>much<\/strong> bigger than 5. What this multiplication step does is to say that that beliefs matter much more strongly when they are both very positive (or very negative), and also very certain. Any other combination means the belief will have a much weaker effect on people&#8217;s attitude.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Add up the scores from step 4 for all of the beliefs. That total is our best guess for how positive your attitude is towards that option.\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>When we add these numbers up, you will get a score that is dominated by the beliefs that are most certain and also most strongly positive or negative. When you add them together, one score of 50 is going to matter more than three scores of 5.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Let&#8217;s try it out with some hypothetical numbers#up.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. We're inventing numbers for an imaginary person here. Play along at home by replacing these with numbers that reflect your own beliefs<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<figure id=\"Maldives\" class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">MALDIVES <\/mark><br>Holiday Beliefs<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Positivity (-5 to +5)<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Belief strength (1 to 10)<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Multiplied<br>together<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Will be relaxing<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+5<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">25<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fun with friend<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+4<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">32<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Long flight + jetlag<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-3<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-18<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>39<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure id=\"skegness\" class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">SKEGNESS<\/mark><br>Holiday Beliefs<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Positivity (-5 to +5)<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Belief strength (1 to 10)<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Multiplied<br>together<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Will be relaxing<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+3<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Could meet a romantic <br>partner who lives in <br>my country<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+5<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Weather might be cool<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-3<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-21<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>13<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From these numbers, we would predict that this person has a more positive attitude towards the proposed Maldives holiday (39) than towards Skegness (13).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Are you ready for the formula now? There is nothing in this formula that we haven&#8217;t said already: it&#8217;s just a very short way of writing down the steps we listed above.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"148\" height=\"82\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/TPB-Attitude-formula.jpg\" alt=\"A mathematical formula. It says A, then the greek letter alpha, then a very large greek letter sigma (meaning &quot;sum up&quot;) with a small 'n' on top, and a small 'i=1' below. The it has &quot;bi ei&quot; where the i's are subscript\" class=\"wp-image-3063\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you are panicking at the sight of this#up, just ask yourself: &#8220;Do I know how to add numbers?&#8221;, and: &#8220;do I know how to multiply numbers?&#8221;. If you answered &#8220;yes&#8221; to both, then you have all the tools you need to work through this! Don&#8217;t panic, take it one step at a time, you&#8217;ll get it.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down And if you feel total serenity at this formula, then we wish that we had your mathematical confidence!<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">What do all those letters and symbols mean?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">A<\/td><td>Your attitude towards this thing<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u03b1<\/td><td>&#8220;is proportional to&#8221;. <br>This replaces the &#8216;=&#8217; sign that you would normally see in an equation. The difference is that they are being modest and admitting that your attitude isn&#8217;t <strong>only <\/strong>the sum of your most salient beliefs, because other things go into it too. As such your attitude won&#8217;t be exactly equal to your summed beliefs, but they should look somewhat similar to each other<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">b<sub>i<\/sub><\/td><td>strength of a given <strong>b<\/strong>elief (which was our number from 1 to 10, remember)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">e<sub>i<\/sub><\/td><td><strong>e<\/strong>valuation of how good\/bad a given belief is (recall, was our number from -5 to +5)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u03a3<\/td><td>&#8220;add this set of numbers up&#8221; (FYI, it&#8217;s the greek letter sigma)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">i<\/td><td>Our count for which belief we are currently up to, as we work our way through multiplying them all together. <br>i=1 means &#8220;start with whichever belief you put first&#8230;&#8221;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">n<\/td><td>This means &#8220;&#8230; keep going till you&#8217;ve done it for all of the beliefs&#8221;<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-pb-accordion-item c-accordion__item js-accordion-item no-js interest\" data-initially-open=\"false\" data-click-to-close=\"true\" data-auto-close=\"true\" data-scroll=\"false\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\"><h5 id=\"at-28761\" class=\"c-accordion__title js-accordion-controller\" role=\"button\">I don&#8217;t get how &#8216;i=1&#8217; and &#8216;n&#8217; can mean that, and I&#8217;m stubborn about knowing these things<\/h5><div id=\"ac-28761\" class=\"c-accordion__content\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It isn&#8217;t very clear, to be fair. Mathematicians developed this convention for reasons best known only to themselves (don&#8217;t blame us, we&#8217;re only marketers).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But if it helps, the &#8216;i&#8217; stands for &#8216;iteration&#8217;. Each time you loop through multiplying the two numbers for the next belief you are &#8220;iterating&#8221; through the procedure (i.e., repeating it over again). When the formula says &#8220;i=1&#8221; under the sigma, that just means &#8220;start with the first thing there is to iterate through&#8221;, which in our case is whichever belief we happen to list first (the order doesn&#8217;t matter).<br>&#8220;n&#8221; stands for &#8220;number&#8221; &#8211; i.e., the total number of beliefs that we have to iterate through. For our beach example, n=3 because we have numbers for each of three beliefs. <br>When it says &#8220;n&#8221; over the sigma, that is just math-speak for: &#8220;keep iterating until you have done it as many times as the total number of things you have to iterate over, then stop&#8230; So you would have i=1, then i=2, then i=3, and then you would quit as there would be no more numbers to multiply together&#8221;. In other (less mathematically precise) words &#8220;just do &#8217;em all&#8221;.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So if we translate that formula into English, what it says is: &#8220;To get an indication of how strong an attitude is, multiply the strength of each relevant belief by how positive that belief is. Then add those numbers up&#8221;. Having a formula is just a very efficient way of writing it, because it compresses those 26 words into 11 characters!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What does this say about how to change attitudes?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Let&#8217;s say we have a job working for the Skegness marketing board. If we look at the attitude formula, we have two obvious options for changing people&#8217;s attitudes#up:<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. There's a third option too. Can you spot it? We'll talk about it in our page on framing<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Option 1<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Option 2<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"148\" height=\"82\" class=\"wp-image-3066\" style=\"width: 148px;\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/TPB-Attitude-formula-evaluation.jpg\" alt=\"The attitude formula from above, with the letters &quot;e (subscript i)&quot; circled in red\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"148\" height=\"82\" class=\"wp-image-3065\" style=\"width: 148px;\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/TPB-Attitude-formula-belief.jpg\" alt=\"The attitude formula from- above, with the letters &quot;b (subscript i)&quot; circled in red\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Change the belief&#8217;s positivity<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Change the belief&#8217;s strength<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Change the belief&#8217;s positivity<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is pretty intuitive &#8211; if you can get people to believe more positive things about something, then they should like it more. But how can we do this? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is rarely ever one correct answer in the world of marketing, only ideas that are more or less creative and better or worse aligned with the fundamentals (which makes it both exciting and frustrating). So let&#8217;s be creative. Looking at the <a href=\"#skegness\" data-type=\"internal\" data-id=\"#skegness\">table above<\/a>#up &#8220;Skegg&#8217;s&#8221; biggest problem is a belief that Lincolnshire might not be as warm as people might appreciate for a beach holiday. Perhaps we can change this. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. In real life you would want to start with good market research on people's beliefs (and what they are willing to belive). But for learning purposes, let's just pretend that this is what we already have<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The most obvious way to do this would be to tell people &#8220;it&#8217;s actually very warm and sunny there!&#8221;. Unfortunately, its average temperature over the summer months is about 15 to 20 Celsius (or 60 &#8211; 70 Fahrenheit for our American friends, with their quirky measurement preferences#up). There might not be a lot of people who are willing to believe that this is the tropical vacation of their dreams (not without a certain amount of false advertising, and we are honest people who wouldn&#8217;t do that).<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. As <a data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=JYqfVE-fykk&amp;t=1s\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=JYqfVE-fykk&amp;t=1s\">lovingly mocked<\/a> by comedy show Saturday Night Live (this isn't to pick on America; every country is quirky in its own way - this is part of our planet's charm)<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It&#8217;s also windy. If you are unfamiliar with British beaches let us introduce you to windbreakers: sheets pegged into the sand that create pockets of shelter from chilly breezes.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"650\" height=\"435\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/windbreak-s-iStock-119419738.jpg\" alt=\"A beach with ocean in the distance. In the foreground is a windbreak - six wooden stakes in the sand that hold up a sheet of fabric (red, blue, and yellow horizontal stripes). Silhouetted through this material are the figures of two people sitting on beach chairs\" class=\"wp-image-3075\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/windbreak-s-iStock-119419738.jpg 650w, https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/windbreak-s-iStock-119419738-300x201.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Beachgoers who have erected a windbreaker (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.istockphoto.com\/photo\/windbreak-silhouettes-on-beach-gm119419738-14379878?phrase=beach%2Bwindbreak\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.istockphoto.com\/photo\/windbreak-silhouettes-on-beach-gm119419738-14379878?phrase=beach%2Bwindbreak\">iStock<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fortunately, a close look at the TPB formula says that we don&#8217;t actually have to change the actual belief itself, only its &#8216;valence&#8217; (i.e., how positive or negative they are). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is a strategy that Canadian cough syrup medicine Buckley&#8217;s has succeeded with for decades. Their slogan: &#8220;It tastes awful. And it works&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/buckleys-5040429753_efdde73020_q.jpg\" alt=\"A jar of Buckleys cough medicine\" class=\"wp-image-3077\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/37804160@N00\/5040429753\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/37804160@N00\/5040429753\">credit<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">They started with print ads featuring Frank Buckley (son of the man who developed it) saying &#8220;I came by my bad taste&nbsp;honestly &#8211; I inherited it from my father&#8221;, and moved to TV ads riffing on this theme#up<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. Quick background on the company : <a data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.buckleys.ca\/about-buckleys\/brief-history-of-bad-taste\/\" href=\"https:\/\/www.buckleys.ca\/about-buckleys\/brief-history-of-bad-taste\/\">A brief history of bad taste<\/a> <\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-4-3 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Buckley&#039;s Commercial\" width=\"500\" height=\"375\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/A8o35nCT9eM?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Buckley&#8217;s knew that nobody would believe their medicine tastes nice (or at least, that claim wouldn&#8217;t get them any <strong>repeat <\/strong>sales). Instead, they turned its revoltingness into a positive: proof that the medicine is strong enough to work (or, at least, that you are willing to do whatever it takes to get better). Bottom line: they don&#8217;t even try to change beliefs that it tastes bad, they just try to make this into a virtue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One more quick example: A poster advertising postgraduate study in engineering at the university of Manchester. It makes a virtue of the idea that such studies may be hard:<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"400\" height=\"912\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/12\/change-valence-MBS-engineering.jpg\" alt=\"A vertical blue poster advertising postgraduate study in engineering at the University of Manchester. The caption at the top is &quot;It's not easy. But I like that&quot; attributed to someone called Jie, who is pictured at the bottom of the poster under another title saying &quot;Hello tomorrow&quot;\" class=\"wp-image-3317\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/12\/change-valence-MBS-engineering.jpg 400w, https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/12\/change-valence-MBS-engineering-132x300.jpg 132w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Could this work for Skegness? Could we make its cool weather into a virtue?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It can do, and it did. This famous 1908 poster (known as the &#8220;Jolly fisherman&#8221;) was so successful that it put the town onto the map for many London tourists.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"400\" height=\"637\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/Poster_GNR._Skegness_is_So_Bracing_by_John_Hassall.jpg\" alt=\"Slightly cartoonish painting of a fisherman in leather boots, white trousers, a blue sweater and red scarf and a pipe, frolicking along a beach, legs in the air as he runs, arms out like a seagulls wings. The caption says &quot;SKEGNESS IS SO BRACING&quot;, and, separately &quot;G.N.R.&quot; (for the Great Northern Railroad)\" class=\"wp-image-3076\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/Poster_GNR._Skegness_is_So_Bracing_by_John_Hassall.jpg 400w, https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/Poster_GNR._Skegness_is_So_Bracing_by_John_Hassall-188x300.jpg 188w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">G.N.R was the Great Northern Railroad &#8211; they paid for this poster to persuade Londoners to ride its services (<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/The_Jolly_Fisherman#\/media\/File:Poster,_GNR._'Skegness_is_So_Bracing'_by_John_Hassall.jpg\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/The_Jolly_Fisherman#\/media\/File:Poster,_GNR._'Skegness_is_So_Bracing'_by_John_Hassall.jpg\">credit<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-paragraph\">Like Buckley&#8217;s, this poster didn&#8217;t claim Skegness as a tropical paradise#up, It just presents cold sea air as a good thing. It will invigorate you! (if that sounds crazy, here&#8217;s a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/shorts\/d1rSwQh5TZc\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/shorts\/d1rSwQh5TZc\">video<\/a> of someone repeatedly climbing into a bucket of ice water while describing its health benefits). So sure Skegness is cold. But in a good way.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. Popular travel writer Bill Bryson <a data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.lincolnshirelive.co.uk\/news\/history\/skegness-jolly-fisherman-story-behind-6886450\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lincolnshirelive.co.uk\/news\/history\/skegness-jolly-fisherman-story-behind-6886450\">reportedly said<\/a> \"As far as I could see there was nothing wrong with Skegness that moving it 800 miles south wouldn't fix.\" He was not a fan<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Change the belief&#8217;s strength<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If we are sceptical that we can pull off the same trick for Skegness again, the TPB&#8217;s attitude formula suggests that there is another way too: Make the belief stronger or weaker.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our table above shows people as very convinced Skeggy would be cold (a belief strength of 7). That was a problem because when multiplied by the negative valence coldness (recall, a -3), that came out to a sizable negative score of -21. People might be a lot more willing to take a chance on Skegness if we can drive down that certainty of coldness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We could advertise: &#8220;Sunny Skegness &#8211; 200 hours of blue skies a month&#8221; (which is <a href=\"https:\/\/weather-and-climate.com\/average-monthly-Rainfall-Temperature-Sunshine,skegness,United-Kingdom\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/weather-and-climate.com\/average-monthly-Rainfall-Temperature-Sunshine,skegness,United-Kingdom\">true<\/a>). Maybe you pair this with speeded up video of a whole sunny day. This might not persuade anyone that Skegness is hot, but if we make them less certain about it being cold, weakening their belief strength down to a 3 (from 7). the drag on their attitude weakens to -9 (i.e., -3 X 3). That won&#8217;t convince anyone to visit its own, but it might do a lot less to stop them if there are other things they like about the visit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Generally, marketers want to make beliefs stronger rather than weaker. There are many ways to do this, of which we will discuss three: Attitudes tend to be stronger when they are based on experience, when they are self-generated, and when they have been reinforced more often.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">a) Beliefs are stronger when based on experience<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If I tell you that a roller coaster is 10\/10 fun, then you might believe me. But it&#8217;s probably not till you ride it yourself that you might believe it strongly enough to gush to your friends about it. Your attitude hasn&#8217;t got more positive you are just more certain about it. We tend to hold our beliefs more strongly when they are based on our own experiences.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is part of the reason that businesses hand out free samples in supermarkets, and offer free trials of their goods: tasting that a thing is delicious is going to affect people more strongly than simply hearing that it is delicious.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"600\" height=\"371\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/free-sample-s-iStock-1211304251.jpg\" alt=\"Person holding tray full of lumps of tuna fish, and a small bowl of toothpicks that can be used to lift up pieces and give them to people as samples (several bits already have toothpicks in them)\" class=\"wp-image-3084\" style=\"width:600px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/free-sample-s-iStock-1211304251.jpg 600w, https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/free-sample-s-iStock-1211304251-300x186.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">&#8220;Try our Otoro tuna?&#8221; (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.istockphoto.com\/photo\/free-food-sample-tasting-salesman-serving-fresh-otoro-tuna-fish-sampling-to-customer-gm1211304251-351225885?phrase=free+sample+supermarket\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.istockphoto.com\/photo\/free-food-sample-tasting-salesman-serving-fresh-otoro-tuna-fish-sampling-to-customer-gm1211304251-351225885?phrase=free+sample+supermarket\">credit<\/a>) <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-pb-accordion-item c-accordion__item js-accordion-item no-js applied\" data-initially-open=\"false\" data-click-to-close=\"true\" data-auto-close=\"true\" data-scroll=\"false\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\"><h5 id=\"at-28762\" class=\"c-accordion__title js-accordion-controller\" role=\"button\">Is that REALLY why they do it? <\/h5><div id=\"ac-28762\" class=\"c-accordion__content\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It&#8217;s part of the reason, but people consumption patterns are usually so strong that even a stronger attitude rarely shifts their consuming much for long &#8211; they tend to go right back to buying their usuall things.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fortunately free samples have another benefit too: they drives immediate sales. There&#8217;s a cultural norm of &#8216;reciprocity&#8217; that Cialdini <span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-E8PVT4DX--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': 'np', 'items': '{4193465:E8PVT4DX}', 'format': '(%d%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span> described: If someone does you a favour, you are supposed to do one back for them, or else you are a selfish person (and who wants to be selfish?). So when you are given a free piece of cheese or hot dog, a lot of people feel compelled to return the flavour by buying a pack of those same hot dogs or of cheese. They&#8217;ll usually go straight back to their old brand the next time they buy, but in the meantime, the company running the promotion gets a short-run sales bump (and so a happy brand manager with positive numbers to put on her quarterly report).<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Or consider petitions. Organizations (and often volunteers) invest a time and energy into organizing, and approaching people to sign them. Why?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It&#8217;s not that they don&#8217;t work at all &#8211; government minister are often presented with counts of how many people signed them, as a measure of the strength of public sentiment. Petitions can be useful parts of sustained pressure campaigns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But they have another benefit to justify the amount of work that goes into them. Signing a position involves taking a public action saying that you support this cause. Once you have done that, it&#8217;s harder to tell yourself that you don&#8217;t care about it, or that it isn&#8217;t important. Your beliefs might not become any more positive, but they might become more strongly held. Increasing that strength of feeling may be part of the reason that the organization tried so hard to get you to sign#up.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. We say this as people who have signed multiple public petitions without regret<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">b) Beliefs are stronger when self-generated<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You might believe me if I tell you that someone is dishonest. You might hold this belief around them with much more conviction if you see them holding hands with someone who is not their partner. It&#8217;s not that you approve of cheating any more in either case, but the mental work of creating the belief yourself tends to cement it with more certainty, which may drag down your attitude towards them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">How do marketers try to use this? There&#8217;s an old saying in the drama world: &#8220;show, don&#8217;t tell&#8221;. Novelists and script writers have long worked out that bad dramas will try to convince you that one of their characters is super clever by having lots of characters say &#8220;oh her? She&#8217;s brilliant&#8221;, and &#8220;she is the smartest of all of us.&#8221; This does work, but only a little. What good writers do is show this character absent-mindedly fiddle with something while they are talking, then nonchalantly dropping their newly solved Rubiks cube as they walk away. The audience instantly draw their own conclusion: &#8220;wow, she&#8217;s really smart&#8221;, and that belief will be more strongly held because they where lead to create it themselves. Show, don&#8217;t tell.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you want people to believe that your engine is powerful, show it launching someone into the distance. If you you want people to believe your shredder is strong <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=gPENDvZjLJE\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=gPENDvZjLJE\">show it chewing up metal objects<\/a>, etc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">c) Beliefs are stronger when reinforced over time<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Recall that long-term memories are stored in networks of nodes, and that those links can fade over time. If we want something to be strongly and quickly remembered &#8211; and believed: You need to keep reinforcing the node in memory, over and over, re-exploring its key links to relevant things (it&#8217;s category &#8211; Ford and car, etc &#8211; and its desired brand associations).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Even low-involvement Adverts can create more strongly held beliefs simply by repeating their messages over time <span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-34KV4B2A--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': 'np', 'items': '{4193465:34KV4B2A}', 'format': '(%a%, %d%, %p%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span>. The first time you see claims that CB is the king of marketing fields, you might barely notice this blatant puffery. But if it is repeated over and over, you might find yourself seeing CB referenced somewhere and say &#8220;oh yes, the king of marketing fields!&#8221;. It sounds silly, but it works.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you want to know more about attitude certainty and what it means for people&#8217;s tendency to resist persuasion, or yield to it, there&#8217;s an interesting model by Rucker et. al. <span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-BE5GEDCM--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': 'np', 'items': '{4193465:BE5GEDCM}', 'format': '(%d%,)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span> that you can look into.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Composition of subjective norms<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Just like attitudes, there is a formula for norms too &#8211; and it is nearly the same formula!<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"172\" height=\"69\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/TPB-Norm-formula.jpg\" alt=\"A mathematical formula. It says SN, then the greek letter alpha, then a very large greek letter sigma (meaning &quot;sum up&quot;) with a small 'n' on top, and a small 'i=1' below. The it has &quot;ni mi&quot; where the i's are subscript\" class=\"wp-image-3088\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td>SN<\/td><td>Subjective Norm<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>n<sub>i<\/sub><\/td><td>Strength of this normative belief (i.e., do I think this is the right thing &#8211; that my reference groups will (dis)approve strongly or weakly#up?)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>m<sub>i<\/sub><\/td><td>Motivation to comply with this group (how much do you care about fitting in with their norms?)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. It's always possible we are wrong about what they think. As always we are alone inside our heads, and have to use our best guesses about what is happening outside of it.<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Let&#8217;s play it out again with our holidays example:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure id=\"Maldives\" class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">MALDIVES <\/mark><br>Holiday Beliefs<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Perceived strength of belief (-5 to +5)<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Motivation to comply with that reference group (1 to 10)<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Multiplied<br>together<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Instagram followers will be dazzled<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+4<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Parents will think I&#8217;m responsible<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-3<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-6<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>14<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure id=\"skegness\" class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">SKEGNESS<\/mark><br>Holiday Beliefs<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Perceived strength of ref group&#8217;s belief (-5 to +5)<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Motivation to comply with that ref group (1 to 10)<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Multiplied<br>together<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Instagram followers will like<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+1<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Parents will think I&#8217;m responsible<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>9<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This person thinks their social media following will be much more impressed with photos from the Maldives (probably true), and they care about this moderately. They think their parents will be unimpressed with them going on a very expensive holiday, but this doesn&#8217;t seem to bother them much (they only care at a 2 out of 10 level).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Note: we are considering the same reference groups for both trip options, but this does not have to be the case.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to change subjective norms<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Logically speaking, this formula gives two ways to increase the influence of a subjective norm: You can change either the n<sub>i<\/sub> (strength of the normative belief) or the m<sub>i<\/sub> (motivation to comply with it). In practice, though, marketers have little influence over these things. We can&#8217;t change who people are friends with#up, and it&#8217;s not easy to change the minds of all those friends.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. Thank goodness<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This does, explain, though, part of the built-in advantage that big brands enjoy. A new brand would find it easier to convince just one consumer than also their friends and relatives too. The big brands are often already known and liked by all those reference groups. This gives them an (arguably unfair) credibility boost over the small ones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-pb-accordion-item c-accordion__item js-accordion-item no-js interest\" data-initially-open=\"false\" data-click-to-close=\"true\" data-auto-close=\"true\" data-scroll=\"false\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\"><h5 id=\"at-28763\" class=\"c-accordion__title js-accordion-controller\" role=\"button\">Might it also explain why people resist debunking their conspiracy theories?<\/h5><div id=\"ac-28763\" class=\"c-accordion__content\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We talked before about why people are often unpersuaded by evidence that they are wrong. There are layers of reasons for this, but one of them may be norms. When someone shouts: &#8220;Covid was really caused by dirty cupboard handles, research it, sheeple!&#8221; they aren&#8217;t saying that they have dual PhD&#8217;s in epidemiology and biochemistry, and are deeply familiar with both research literatures, because almost nobody has that expertise. Not one of us is an expert at everything in our lives &#8211; it would take years to learn the technology behind the screen you are reading this on, and longer to learn the biophysiology of your eyeball that is reading it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The point is that we often rely on people who know more than us. What a conspiracy theorist screams &#8220;Look at the evidence!&#8221;, what they are really saying is: &#8220;the people I trust say this is true, and I trust them more than you.&#8221; The more you push back against this, the more they dismiss you as being opposed to the &#8216;good&#8217; people who know. Any arguments you produce are dismissed as lies, distortions, or attempts to confuse them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The moral: Be careful who you trust. Don&#8217;t stop trusting people entirely (that just leads to nihilism where nothing is true and so everything is), but do your homework: Is there a reason to believe what they say beyond &#8220;they are famous and articulate, and good at whipping up fear&#8221;.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So marketers don&#8217;t get to pick our friends, but what they <strong>can<\/strong> do is show us what other people think. These might be weaker reference groups than our friends, but they can affect us nonetheless. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We can do this with a) social proof, b) product reviews, and c) viral marketing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Via social proof<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As we discussed on earlier pages, marketers have learned the value of social proof &#8211; they even call it by name. For example, web pages are often build with &#8216;social proof&#8217; sections listing prominent clients. This example is a screenshot from the homepage of Qualtrics.com (a company that helps build internet surveys):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"151\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/Qualtrics-homepage-Screenshot-2023-11-28-201709.jpg\" alt=\"Screenshot from the homepage of Qualtrics.com It says &quot;you're in good company&quot; and lists logos of companies who use their product: Samsung, Coca-Cola, Sony, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Citi, Spotify, and Toyota\" class=\"wp-image-3108\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/Qualtrics-homepage-Screenshot-2023-11-28-201709.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/Qualtrics-homepage-Screenshot-2023-11-28-201709-300x45.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/Qualtrics-homepage-Screenshot-2023-11-28-201709-768x116.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But there are other ways to do this, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hotel towels example<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Goldstein, Cialdini, and Griskevicius <span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-NDHJCEXI--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': 'np', 'items': '{4193465:NDHJCEXI}', 'format': '(%d%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span> worked with a big hotel chain to try to encourage people to allow their towels be re-used on the later days of their stay, instead of sending them to be washed and then replaced with clean towels (thus saving enormous amounts of energy and water, which is obviously good for the environment). Now people were making these decisions in their private hotel rooms, so how do you use social proof to influence them there?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">They did this using signs. The hotel had been running this program for a long time by placing signs in people&#8217;s rooms saying &#8220;HELP SAVE THE ENVIRONMENT. You can show your respect for nature and help save the environment by reusing your towels during your stay&#8221;, and then including instructions that if they left their towel hanging from the towel rack or shower rod, it would be folded up for them and re-used instead of being washed. The back of the sign had more information justifying the program: &#8220;DID YOU KNOW that if most of this hotel\u2019s guests participate in our resource savings program, it would save the environment 72,000 gallons of water and 39 barrels of oil, and would prevent nearly 480 gallons of detergent from being released into the environment this year alone?\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Goldstein and colleagues had the hotel replace the signs in some rooms with ones that changed the text only on the front. Their new signs read: &#8220;JOIN YOUR FELLOW GUESTS IN HELPING TO SAVE THE ENVIRONMENT. Almost 75% of guests who are asked to participate in our new resource savings program do help by using their towels more than once. You can join your fellow guests in this program to help save the environment by reusing your towels during your stay.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This simple move, adding normative information to the sign, was enough to boost the rate at which people re-used their towels by 10%. In a second study they found that the rate could be boosted 7 or 8% higher if the sign specifically referenced that 75% of guests who stayed in room XX reused their towels (where &#8220;XX&#8221; was the guest&#8217;s current room number). Somehow making the norm even more local to where the person was, made it feel that much more relevant to themselves. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Test your understanding: Petrified forest example<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Quick background: In Arizona, USA, there are trees that fell into water 200 million years ago, got buried in just the right conditions, and their wood was replaced with crystals. They are now there lying in a desert, &#8216;petrified&#8217; (turned to stone), and you can visit them. In fact, millions do, and a small percent of them pick up pretty bits of preserved tree, and take it home with them as a souvenir. The problem is that a small percent of millions is a lot of naughty people, who are hoovering up a lot of forest.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"582\" height=\"449\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/petrified-forest-62171_640.jpg\" alt=\"Two pieces of what appears to be tree trunks lying on gravel (with tiny little sprouts of grass in spots). The perimeter of both appears to be covered in bark, but you can see the top of the closest one, and its inside is a red stone\" class=\"wp-image-3102\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/petrified-forest-62171_640.jpg 582w, https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/petrified-forest-62171_640-300x231.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 582px) 100vw, 582px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Petrified trees &#8211; their wood replaced with stone (<a href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/photos\/petrified-forest-national-park-62171\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/photos\/petrified-forest-national-park-62171\/\">credit<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The park rangers try to discourage this with a sign that reads: \u201cYour heritage is being vandalised every day by theft losses of petrified wood of 14 tons a year, mostly a small piece at a time.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here is your question: Think about what this sign says. Think about what the TPB says about norms. Why is it a bad idea to write the sign as they did?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-pb-accordion-item c-accordion__item js-accordion-item no-js understand\" data-initially-open=\"false\" data-click-to-close=\"true\" data-auto-close=\"true\" data-scroll=\"false\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\"><h5 id=\"at-28764\" class=\"c-accordion__title js-accordion-controller\" role=\"button\">Cialdini and his colleagues did a study to answer that. See if you can get it first, though<\/h5><div id=\"ac-28764\" class=\"c-accordion__content\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The problem with this sign is that it has two messages. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The first one is an injunctive norm (recall, ones about what you &#8216;ought&#8217; to do). It says that &#8220;taking the wood is vandalism&#8221; which implies that this is a bad thing that you presumably should not do#up.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. Above we said that the TPB 'norms' are what our culture chapter called 'reference groups', but injunctive norms are very much a usage of culture-type norms. So what's going on? As we noted in the original culture chapter, reference groups can sometimes influence sub-cultures (such as an in-jokes among friends). It's messy, but that's just how people are.<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The second message contains a descriptive norm (recall, ones about what people commonly do). This is the part of that communicates &#8220;lots of people take the wood&#8221;. The implication here is that taking wood is normative &#8211; just what people do &#8211; so why miss out yourself?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">They tested this idea by putting up four different signs on different trails at different times (they kept switching them around so that results weren&#8217;t biased by which trail or time a given sign was on). They varied whether these signs had injunctive or descriptive norm messages on them, and also whether they were phrased negatively (&#8220;don&#8217;t take trees&#8221;) or positively (&#8220;do leave trees alone&#8221;). Then they placed hundreds of wood fossils along the trail#up and monitored how many were taken.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here&#8217;s what their messages and results looked like:<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. They put ones that people had already taken from the park, but then returned when they felt remorse - the park rangers can't put them back in their original place as they don't know exactly where they came from, and so store them seperately.<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th>Message<\/th><th>Type<\/th><th>Percent of wood taken<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>\u201cPlease don&#8217;t remove the petrified wood from the park\u201d + picture of visitor&#8217;s hand stealing wood, inside a red circle with a red line through it<\/td><td>Injunctive, negative<\/td><td>1.67%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&#8220;Please leave petrified wood in the park&#8221; + picture of visitor admiring and taking a photo of wood<\/td><td>Injunctive, positive<\/td><td>5.33%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u201cMany past visitors have removed the petrified wood from the park, changing the state of the Petrified Forest&#8221; + picture of 3 visitors taking wood<\/td><td>Descriptive negative<\/td><td>7.92%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u201cThe vast majority of past visitors have left the petrified wood in the park, preserving the natural state of the Petrified Forest\u201d + picture of 3 visitors admiring and taking photos of wood<\/td><td>Descriptive positive<\/td><td>5.00%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The best result came from the simple negative injunctive message: &#8220;Don&#8217;t remove the petrified wood&#8221;. That makes sense. You&#8217;re trying to tell them what they ought to do, and that&#8217;s what injunctive norms are for. The worst performing one#up was the one like the park rangers put up &#8211; revealing the descriptive norm that lots of people take this wood.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. Technically it was in a 3-way tie with the two positive messages - they weren't able to show that the increase from 5% taken to 8% was statistically significant. But the positive messages were alwyas likely to be weak ones because they only told people to admire the wood, and never said that they shouldn't take it<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And armed with this new learning, based on painstaking research, the park rangers&#8230; kept their original sign. They had done focus groups with park visitors, and the people in those groups had said they would get the message not to steal wood, and that was good enough for the rangers. Science is not, it seems, universally appreciated.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Smoking example<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This process can also work in reverse. Many countries have introduced bans on smoking in public places (workplaces, restaurants, etc). There is some evidence to suggest that this has reduced smoking levels even in places that are not affected by the bans, such as in people&#8217;s homes <span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-C87M7TEW--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': 'np', 'items': '{4193465:C87M7TEW}', 'format': '(%a%, %d%, %p%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span>. Many observers had predicted the opposite, that people would smoke more at home if they weren&#8217;t allowed to do it at work, or when socializing in public, so why does it appear to have had the opposite effect? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The evidence suggests that it may be due norms. It used to be that you were surrounded by people puffing on cigarettes wherever you went &#8211; sitting in your workplace, or meeting friends in a coffee shop or bar or bowling alley. The descriptive norm here is that smoking is &#8216;ok&#8217; &#8211; it is accepted as just a normal part of life. But when the law closed down smoking in all of those places, the normative message switched to seeing people functioning perfectly happily without tobacco. The message was that it isn&#8217;t just what people do, that it wasn&#8217;t a harmless part of normal life, and so, it seems, that people became slightly less likely to reach for cigarettes even in their own homes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Via product reviews<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Technically this is a form of social proof, but it is such a common and distinct one that it is worth talking about separately on its own.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"> When we buy things (especially online) one of the first things we often see are reviews from other customers.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"989\" height=\"168\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/amazon-screen-cap-crop-1.jpg\" alt=\"Screen capture of part of an Amazon.com product page for a Hyundai trimmer\/strimmer\/brushcutter. It shows the top part of the image of the product, its name, and then says &quot;by Hyundai&quot;, shows a 4 star rating (4 yellow stars and fifth empty white one), then says &quot;89 customer reviews | 18 answered questions&quot;\" class=\"wp-image-3105\" srcset=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/amazon-screen-cap-crop-1.jpg 989w, https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/amazon-screen-cap-crop-1-300x51.jpg 300w, https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/amazon-screen-cap-crop-1-768x130.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 989px) 100vw, 989px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">A screen capture from Amazon.co.uk. Note 4 star rating, 89 customer reviews, 18 answered questions<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Marketers are not legally obligated to provide us this information, but choose to because it helps their sales. When open product reviews were first introduced a lot of retailers were nervous about them &#8211; why let consumers talk directly to each other in ways that you cannot control, where they may say things that are damaging to the brand? But what they found is that consumers tend to say mostly positive things, and, much more importantly, consumers believe each other much more than they believe you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This makes sense from the consumer&#8217;s perspective. The company has every incentive to tell you that its products are wonderful. but other consumers are going to be less biased, and are more likely to see the product from the same perspective as you (i.e., as a user who wants something from it).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-pb-accordion-item c-accordion__item js-accordion-item no-js applied\" data-initially-open=\"false\" data-click-to-close=\"true\" data-auto-close=\"true\" data-scroll=\"false\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\"><h5 id=\"at-28765\" class=\"c-accordion__title js-accordion-controller\" role=\"button\">Do companies try to manipulate reviews?<\/h5><div id=\"ac-28765\" class=\"c-accordion__content\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is a huge problem. The people selling products know that good reviews drive sales, so they have a huge incentive to stuff review sites with fake 5 star reviews. They even create &#8216;bots&#8217; to try to create many fake accounts to create large numbers of reviews &#8211; and sell these bots as a service. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The tech companies say that they take down millions of these fake reviews every month, but it is impossible to find them all, and companies try to find ever more creative ways around &#8211; such as by sending early real consumers offers of small bribes if they leave 5-star reviews.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This can become an arms race: unscrupulous marketers look for ways to cheat the system, platforms look for ways to block them from cheating, and dodgy marketers look for ways to get around those blocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The basic problem is that reviews are only useful to customers if they are honest &#8211; if every product has a fake 5 star review, then there&#8217;s no point in looking at them anymore because they tell you nothing useful about whether you will like the product. But the reviews are only profitable for marketers if there are many good ones, and so the profit-seeking marketers will try to get as many good reviews as possible. If their only way to do that is to make real customers happy, then this is fine &#8211; it encourages them to be good at their jobs. But if they are able to cheat and create fake positive reviews, then they gain personally, at the expense of consumers and the marketplaces themselves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In other words, you can look at fake reviews as a parasite problem: A parasite takes resources from another organism and gives nothing in return except harm to the host (i.e., the mosquito takes your blood, and gives you nothing but an itchy bump#up). Cheating marketers here are looking to take resources for themselves while harming their host markets and consumers.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. An itchy bump, and possibly also a disease like malaria or dengue fever if it is the wrong type of mosquito in the wrong part of the world. We are not fans of parasites!<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Via viral marketing<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Viral marketing is an attempt to get a product seen being used by people whom the target person knows (or, at least, who they see as part of their tribe). You can see it as an attempt to hijack our social norm systems, to get them to reproduce marketing content, but with a normative stamp of approval from the people in our lives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-pb-accordion-item c-accordion__item js-accordion-item no-js interest\" data-initially-open=\"false\" data-click-to-close=\"true\" data-auto-close=\"true\" data-scroll=\"false\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\"><h5 id=\"at-28766\" class=\"c-accordion__title js-accordion-controller\" role=\"button\">Which is how real viruses work too<\/h5><div id=\"ac-28766\" class=\"c-accordion__content\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is not even a little bit about marketing, but if you are interested, did you know the difference between bacteria and viruses? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bacteria are cells just like the ones our bodies are made from. They eat and reproduce and divide, just like our cells do. Viruses are much weirder. Viruses don&#8217;t have enough DNA machinery to reproduce on their own. When a virus is outside of a host body it isn&#8217;t even considered alive or dead &#8211; it just exists. But when they get into a body they force their way into cells, and then hijack their DNA machinery to manufacture new copies of themselves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So you can see the analogy to viral marketing. It gets inside host people&#8217;s minds and uses their social machinery to reproduce its marketing influence and spread through their social networks (be it online or in real space). <\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Viral marketing has been around for a long time. It was arguably invented in the 1940&#8217;s by the diamond company DeBeers, who used to have a monopoly on selling diamonds. They wanted to introduce the idea that diamond rings should be given when you get engaged to e married. They gave free diamond rings to movie stars and other famous celebrities who were proposing, and even got a movie made starring Marilyn Monroe called &#8220;diamonds are a girl&#8217;s best friend&#8221;. The idea took root, and now people around much of the world sincerely believe that diamond rings are a traditional part of marriage that goes back through the ages &#8211; and not the invention of a very large firm that had pretty rocks it wanted to sell #up.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. If this history interests you, there's a pretty gripping <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/magazine\/archive\/1982\/02\/have-you-ever-tried-to-sell-a-diamond\/304575\/\">long read<\/a> from The Atlantic.<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By the 1980&#8217;s and 1990&#8217;s it had evolved. Specialised marketing firms would identify popular people (often kids), and give those kids samples of their client&#8217;s product for free. When the other kids at school saw the product being used by the cool kids, they would ask their parents for it too (so went the theory, and often the practice).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the age of social media, most people are now familiar with the idea that content (messages, ideas, videos, etc) can &#8216;go viral&#8217; &#8211; be passed from person to person and spread very quickly to a large audience without anyone coordinating any of this activity. If it is something that people decide they like sharing, it can suddenly go a long way, and very fast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is an entire ecosystem of people who now work hard at being &#8216;influencers&#8217;, and a corresponding one for firms who work at trying to produce videos and clips that they hope will go viral. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Weirdly, nearly anything can go viral, even advertising slogans. This happened to the tagline &#8220;What happens in Vegas stays in Vegas&#8221;. It started off as a promotional campaign run by a media firm#up, and quickly entered pop culture as a phrase that people would spontaneously use in playful ways, and even became the title of a Hollywood movie.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. A campaign that very nearly didn't get launched - if you're interested in the oral history of how it happened (and its insights into how marketing companies operate) there's a <a href=\"https:\/\/lasvegasweekly.com\/news\/2011\/sep\/29\/look-back-advertising-magic-what-happens-here-stay\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/lasvegasweekly.com\/news\/2011\/sep\/29\/look-back-advertising-magic-what-happens-here-stay\/\">nice story<\/a> from the Las Vegas Weekly<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Composition of perceived control<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Again, there&#8217;s a very familiar fomula here:<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"172\" height=\"73\" src=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/11\/TPB-Control-formula.jpg\" alt=\"A mathematical formula. It says PBC, then the greek letter alpha, then a very large greek letter sigma (meaning &quot;sum up&quot;) with a small 'n' on top, and a small 'i=1' below. The it has &quot;ci pi&quot; where the i's are subscript\" class=\"wp-image-3089\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td>PBC<\/td><td>Perceived Behavioural Control<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>c<sub>i<\/sub><\/td><td>Control belief (is it making the change easier or harder?)  <\/td><\/tr><tr><td>p<sub>i<\/sub><\/td><td>How much power do you think this control belief has (Is this something you can easily avoid, or is it going to absolutely control what you do?)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It isn&#8217;t quite so clear as with attitudes how useful it is to divide it up into these two components, but this is the way the model was written, and it does make everything pleasingly parallel (that really isn&#8217;t a great reason is it).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Let&#8217;s play out our holidays example:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure id=\"Maldives\" class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">MALDIVES <\/mark><br>Holiday Beliefs<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Is it facilitating or blocking me (-5 to +5)<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">How much power does it have to do this (1 to 10)<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Multiplied<br>together<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Very expensive<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-9<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-72<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Will take days of searching to find good flights etc<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-3<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-12<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>-84<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure id=\"skegness\" class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">SKEGNESS<\/mark><br>Holiday Beliefs<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Is it facilitating or blocking me (-5 to +5)<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">How much power does it have to do this (1 to 10)<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Multiplied<br>together<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Affordable<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+5<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">40<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Train schedule easy to read, hotels easy to find<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+3<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>TOTAL<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>52<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is where things seem to swing against the Maldives. It is clearly expensive to get there, and this is a problem for our hypothetical vacationer. Neither do they seem to enjoy the idea of spending a day or two juggling possible different flights for cheapest vs. most direct options, and trying to line up places to stay. Other people might not experience money as an obstacle, and may even enjoy searching out flights, seeing it as a challenge &#8211; this is why one has to do research to find out how your actual audience think.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sometimes control issues can provide an absolute block on a course of action. If you don&#8217;t have enough money to go to the Maldives, then it doesn&#8217;t matter how much you like the idea, you simply are unable to go. This theory describes its key variable as &#8220;<strong>perceived <\/strong>behavioural control&#8221;, though, because sometimes people are wrong about what the actual limits are (for example, a  thing might be more affordable than they thought it would be), but it is people&#8217;s perceptions that will guide their intentions (i.e., if they don&#8217;t realize how affordable it is, they still won&#8217;t form the intention of going &#8211; we can only ever form intentions based on the our current understanding, however good understanding that may be).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to change perceived control<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Marketers think about this all the time. In fact, two of the famous &#8220;4 P&#8217;s&#8221; are about it: price and place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Price is often a big factor that makes people feel that it is hard to make a purchase. It&#8217;s very tempting to reduce price to a single number and say &#8220;if it&#8217;s small then people can do it, and if it&#8217;s big then they can&#8217;t&#8221;, but price is vastly more complicated than that. We could write an entire chapter just on price (and indeed, we will talk about it in our chapter on practitioner perspectives), but this is not the place for that. For now we will leave you with your basic intuitions about people&#8217;s budgeting, and the things that they do and don&#8217;t experience as affordable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Place is often about trying to make the route to buying as easy as possible. You put stores in places where people are likely to be, or to want to visit. You put vending machines where they might want the product but there isn&#8217;t room for a store. You create online channels (or even omnichannels -again we&#8217;ll discuss this later) to remove the barrier or even having to leave one&#8217;s own home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Once you have an online presence, the work to make it easier for consumers continues. There is an entire field and career path called UX (User eXperience design) that is all about making interfaces as easy as possible to use. For instance, online retailers know that every click that you require a customer to complete in order to make a purchase will see some of your consumers dropping out of the purchase process (i.e., they just abandon their shopping cart with things in it, or even drop out part way through entering their payment information). This is why big retailers like Amazon have added &#8220;1-click buy&#8221; buttons &#8211; to remove tiny difficulty barriers that nevertheless have measurable impacts on sales. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">UX people are paid to work on &#8216;optimizing&#8217; websites, putting the information that will most influence people right where they will be looking for it, and trying to find tiny ways to reduce scrolling, clicking, and tricky choices. If they see more than five or six choices on a menu, they will be thinking about ways they can be reduced (being a UX person means understanding the limits of short-term memory!). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Above all, the mantra of UX is &#8220;test, test, test, then test again&#8221;. Before you even start building your website you make mock-ups on paper, or in handy computer simulators, and then you have real people interact with your mock-ups to find out if they are understanding it, and finding it as easy to use as you think they should be &#8211; and then you redesign relentlessly until it is as polished for consumer use as possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Calculating intentions from those 3 components<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At this point we have scores for the attitude, subjective norms, and perceived control for going on holiday. But how do we combine these to arrive at some kind of intention? TPB has a very simple answer: Just add them up!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Let us review our numbers from above<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Component<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score for <br>Maldives holiday<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score for <br>Skegness holiday<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Attitude<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">39<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Subjective Norm<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Perceived Behavioural Control<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-84<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">52<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Total<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>-31<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>74<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It seems like our prospective holiday-maker prefers teh idea of going to the Maldives, and seems them as similarly normative (slight edge to the big foreign trip), but their decision is dominated by the Maldives being much more expensive and difficult to get to. In fact, if money is especially tight, they might add a third possible option of a &#8216;staycation&#8217; (explore those local parks for free, and stay in the comfort of your own bed!).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Is this the choice that the actual person would really make (assuming we were right about all of their considerations)? Possibly! Humans are messy and complicated creatures, and it&#8217;s entirely possible that their friend says (&#8220;oh come on, you <strong>gotta come<\/strong>&#8220;) and they talk themselves into a rather expensive proposition. Stranger things have happened.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But, we can say that this is what they are most likely to do. And when you dealing with human behaviour &#8220;more likely to&#8221; is about as  good as you ever get. If you had enough data about what enough people did in this situation, you may be able to quantify how likely they are to go (i.e., &#8220;for a person with this set of factors, they have an 18% chance of the Maldives, and an 88% chance of Skegness&#8221;). But you probably don&#8217;t have that much data unless you are working for a company that routinely deals with hundreds and thousands of such peopel making these decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading understand\">Why does TPB include these 3 ingredients and not others?<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Every model which says &#8220;thing X is caused by other things A, B, and C&#8221; is making an explicit claim that those three things matter, and an implicit claim that other things matter (or, at least, not much or else they would be part of the model). For any model, then, it is always fair to ask whether it draws those boundaries in the right places. They aren&#8217;t always! Azjen himself came up with TPB because he thought that his earlier model the Theory of Reasoned Action was missing an important ingredient: perceived control.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So you might ask any number of questions like this about TPB. For example, &#8220;what about if I plan to eat a pizza because I just think it is yummy?&#8221; Or &#8220;what if I plan to eat a pizza because that is what I always eat on Tuesday?&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In fact, this is a good test of understanding. Can you answer those questions?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-pb-accordion-item c-accordion__item js-accordion-item no-js\" data-initially-open=\"false\" data-click-to-close=\"true\" data-auto-close=\"true\" data-scroll=\"false\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\"><h5 id=\"at-28767\" class=\"c-accordion__title js-accordion-controller\" role=\"button\">Try first before you check our answers<\/h5><div id=\"ac-28767\" class=\"c-accordion__content\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>&#8220;But pizza is just yummy&#8221;<\/strong>: This is already in the model. It&#8217;s an attitude! It is a belief that the pizza will make my tastebuds happy, and this positive belief is presumably considered pretty important.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>&#8220;I always eat it on Tuesday&#8221;<\/strong>: This is not included in the model&#8230; but should it be?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Something that is extremely obvious and yet surprisingly easy to lose track of is that the TPB is not an attempt to predict <strong>all<\/strong> people&#8217;s behaviours, only the <strong>planned <\/strong>kind (it&#8217;s right there in the name). It doesn&#8217;t attempt to cover most of the things we do in our lives &#8211; the great human mashup of habits and impulses, hopes, dreams, and fears&#8230; And this is fine! <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you don&#8217;t put limits on what a theory does and doesn&#8217;t cover, it soon becomes a sprawling &#8220;theory of everything&#8221; that is so complicated that nobody can really understand it anymore &#8211; and a theory that nobody can understand isn&#8217;t a very useful one. The TBA very much restricts itself to being a theory of System 2 thinking (about the times we ask: &#8220;what shall I do?&#8221;), and that is probably a good thing!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So the question then is this: Are there any major factors affecting <strong>deliberate<\/strong> behaviour that it is missing? Can you think of any?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ajzen (1991) suggests one possibility: personal moral standards. There is some evidence that adding questions about these to the TPB does help it make slightly better predictions about whether people say they would cheat on a test (but the improvement wasn&#8217;t large).<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"related-models\">Related models<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The table below lists the key variables from models related to the TPB.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At first, it might look like these models are all very different, but a closer look shows that they are all pretty similar. The family resemblance between them is that they all list forces that might be involved in behaviour change, and they all have broadly similar ideas about what those forces are &#8211; the confusion is just that they tend to give them different names#up. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. Partly this is just due to academic politics and career incentives (\"I want to be famous for my own theory!\"), but some are legitimate arguments over the exact best ways to think about things. The line between those motives can be a blury one<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For example, the various models all include the idea that people will adopt things that they think will be helpful for them, but they all give it different names: &#8220;attitude&#8221; \/ &#8220;motivation&#8221; \/ &#8220;usefulness&#8221; \/ &#8220;performance expectancy&#8221; \/ and &#8220;relative advantage.&#8221; The authors of these models would protest that there are different nuances to these names (e.g., &#8220;attitude&#8221; is a much broader idea than &#8220;relative advantage&#8221;, covering more things), and they would be right. but the general insight behind how and why they predict behaviour change is the same.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Your challenge, then, as you read through, is to try to spot what is the same between the models, and where they are different. You can&#8217;t just look for things that are named with the same words, though. You have to think about what the words mean. Which ones are close to synonyms, and which are trying to suggest more radically different causes?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-pb-accordion-item c-accordion__item js-accordion-item no-js interest\" data-initially-open=\"false\" data-click-to-close=\"true\" data-auto-close=\"true\" data-scroll=\"false\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\"><h5 id=\"at-28768\" class=\"c-accordion__title js-accordion-controller\" role=\"button\">Why, in the name of all that is holy, would they do this to us?<\/h5><div id=\"ac-28768\" class=\"c-accordion__content\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We hear you, it&#8217;s frustrating. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But there is an important lesson here: our models do not come to us on stone tablets, as dictated by all-seeing deities. That would make life much easier. Instead, we are stuck with lots of smart people who all observe the huge mess that is human behaviour and try to describe the common themes that seem to keep recurring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you are a pessimist then you are frustrated at how impossibly messy and confusing it all becomes, and despair that people will probably never agree on one agreed best and most helpful answer, leaving us all mired in layers of complexity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you are an optimist, then you feel reassured that similar ideas keep popping up again and again under different names. It suggests that we really have found some coherent and consistent thing, which is a useful place to be in, even if minor arguments do keep raging on the sidelines about which exact word is best at describing it.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><thead><tr><th>Model<\/th><th>Key predictor variables<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Theory of Reasoned Action<\/td><td>The direct precursor to TPB, that includes only:<br><br>1. Attitude<br>2. Subjective Norms<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Uses and Gratifications Theory<\/td><td>People get involved with communications media based on:<br><br>1. Motivations (is it useful at filling some requirement)<br>2. Behavioural usage (are they exposed to it a lot)<br>3. Gratification\/satisfaction (is it enjoyable)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Technology Acceptance Model<\/td><td>A new technology will be adopted based on its:<br><br>1. Perceived usefulness<br>2. How easy it is to use<br>3. Attitude towards its use (do I like it?)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Motivational Model<\/td><td>People will adopt a thing for reasons that are:<br><br>1. Intrinsic (it is fun, enjoyable, meaningful, etc)<br>2. Extrinsic (it is useful, achieves some kind of end)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology (UTAUT)<\/td><td>This model tries to combine many others (including the ones above) into a more comprehensive description of how technology gets adopted. It&#8217;s key variables:<br><br>1. Effort expectancy (is it hard)<br>2. Performance expectancy (will it work)<br>3. Social influence (subjective norms)<br>4. facilitating conditions (does the environment make it easy and available)<br><br>Moderators<sup>a<\/sup>: gender, experience, age, voluntariness of use (i.e., are you choosing it or being made to use it)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Diffusion of Innovation (DOI)<sup>b<\/sup><\/td><td>Innovations spread more quickly where they are<sup>c<\/sup>:<br><br>1. Compatible with existing values \/ behaviours \/ tools<br>2. Trialable (you can try before you buy)<br>3. Relative advantage (work better than alternatives in some way)<br>4. Observability (you can see others using it &#8211; cars are more observable than medications)<br>5. simplicity (how easy is it to understand or learn)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-SPYSL3DY--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': 'np', 'items': '{4193465:SPYSL3DY}', 'format': '(for an overview see: %a%, %d%, %p%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Table footnotes:<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">(a) &#8211; &#8220;Moderators&#8221; is social science jargon for a variable that changes the relationship between two others, without being changed itself. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-pb-accordion-item c-accordion__item js-accordion-item no-js understand\" data-initially-open=\"false\" data-click-to-close=\"true\" data-auto-close=\"true\" data-scroll=\"false\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\"><h5 id=\"at-28769\" class=\"c-accordion__title js-accordion-controller\" role=\"button\">Wait, I want an example for moderators<\/h5><div id=\"ac-28769\" class=\"c-accordion__content\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>An intuitive example: <\/strong>Lifting weights causes people to gain muscle mass, but this is moderated by sex: Lifting will make male bodies gain muscle faster (on average) than female bodies will (testosterone is like a cheat code for weightlifting &#8211; which is why competitive sports ban athletes from artificially doping with it). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Summary: The relationship between weightlifting activity (predictor variable) and muscle growth (outcome variable) is changed by the sex of the weightlifter (moderator variable).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>An example from the UTAUT model:<\/strong> If it is difficult to learn some new computer software (&#8220;high effort&#8221; as a predictor variable). How will that change your interest in wanting to use it (&#8220;adoption&#8221; as an outcome variable)? This relationship might be moderated by voluntariness. If you feel like you are being forced to use it (&#8220;low voluntariness&#8221; as a moderator variable) then the effort needed to learn the software will feel like painful work, and you will want to avoid it. On the other hand, if you feel like you are choosing to use it because it could be interesting (&#8220;high voluntariness&#8221; as a moderator) then the effort required might not deter you &#8211; in fact, you might be excited for the challenge. So if software is harder to learn, then might predict less interest or more interest at learning it, depending on how voluntary people feel that this effort is from them.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">(b) &#8211; This is only one part of the DOI model &#8211; see below for more<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">(c) &#8211; The DOI pitches these variables in a subtly different way than the others. Whereas the previous models describe psychological beliefs (e.g., &#8220;I&#8217;ll find this easy&#8221;), this one describes objective characteristics (e.g., &#8220;This is a technology that people learn easily&#8221;)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">So which of these models is best?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It would be nice if there were a simple clear answer to this. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Researchers will often pit these models against each other by trying to see which one is best at predicting their outcome variables (i.e., which one is most correct at identifying which people adopt an innovation). What these will tend to show is that more sophisticated and complete models will perform a bit better, but this tends to come at the cost that you are tracking more different things, and working harder to measure and compute it. So the big question is over whether that extra effort is worth it. Does it add enough to the accuracy of our predictions that we should care? And your answer to that will probably depend partly on how much you care about being accurate, vs. about not wasting resources doing unnecessarily complicated research. So it will depend a lot on who is asking, what, when, and for what reason.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That said, here are some quick suggestions: The UTAUT and Diffusion of Innovation models are the most complete, which may often help them give the most exact answers. But the UTAUT model is explicitly about adopting new technologies, so it&#8217;s not clear if it would be as helpful at other consumption. If you look at it carefully, three of its four factors are very similar to the older (more famous) TPB model&#8217;s 3 factors, and the fourth (effort expectancy) is probably not very relevant to a lot of consumer goods (how much effort is it going to take to eat cereal, put on shoes, or get a massage?). So for most consumer cases, the two models are functionally fairly similar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"attitude_strength\">A deeper dive model: Attitude strength<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All attitudes are not made equal. For example, I like unicorns and tea. But tell me to imagine a world in which all unicorns are bad, and I will shrug. Tell me to imagine a world in which all tea tastes bad, and I will fight you. Both are positive attitudes, but one is more important to me than the other.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Several things seem true about stronger attitudes :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>They are more &#8216;accessible&#8217; in people&#8217;s memory<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They guide behaviour more strongly<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They are more resistant to being changed later<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You would ideally like for consumers to hold strong positive attitudes to your brand. But how does one try to achieve this?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One theory suggests that there might be three#up key ingredients that go into attitudes being held more certainty <span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-BE5GEDCM--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': 'np', 'items': '{4193465:BE5GEDCM}', 'format': '(%a%, %d%, %p%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span>:<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. If you read their paper, it says 6 factors. We are just grouping them a little more concisely<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ingredients to attitude strength<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Attitudes are held as more certain when based on a strong set of beliefs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Attitudes are held as more certain when based on beliefs that fit the choice context<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Attitudes are held as more certain when they are felt to have more emotional fit<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Beliefs are strong when we feel they provide a complete and accurate accounting of a thing. I might feel strongly about a brand if I&#8217;ve tried it and liked it, my friends all say good things about it, and it fits well with other things I know.   <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-pb-accordion-item c-accordion__item js-accordion-item no-js\" data-initially-open=\"false\" data-click-to-close=\"true\" data-auto-close=\"true\" data-scroll=\"false\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\"><h5 id=\"at-287610\" class=\"c-accordion__title js-accordion-controller\" role=\"button\">Tell me more about belief strength <\/h5><div id=\"ac-287610\" class=\"c-accordion__content\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I might feel more strongly about cats than unicorns because my beliefs about cats are based on information that is more <strong>accurate<\/strong> and <span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;\"><strong>complete<\/strong><\/span> (or, at least, it seems that way to me).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Several things help us see our beliefs as <strong>accurate<\/strong>, including perceiving that there is a consensus over them among people we know and trust (&#8220;everyone knows that&#8221;), it being consistent with other things we know (&#8220;I guess that fits&#8230;&#8221;), or it being based on direct experience (&#8220;I tried it once. It was nice&#8221;).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Information feels more <strong>complete<\/strong> when we have a large amount of information (&#8220;I&#8217;ve been reading about this for days&#8221;), we feel we&#8217;ve considered all sides of an issue (&#8220;product X may be faster but product Y looks cooler&#8221;), and we feel have given it a lot of consideration (&#8220;I&#8217;ve been going back and forth all day, but I think I&#8217;ve got it now&#8221;).<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Beliefs fit our choice context when they tell us important and useful things about the exact type  of product we are buying. If I believe that Honda makes reliable cars, this might influence me weakly when I&#8217;m considering a Honda lawnmower, but strongly when I buy a hatchback car for my family. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-pb-accordion-item c-accordion__item js-accordion-item no-js\" data-initially-open=\"false\" data-click-to-close=\"true\" data-auto-close=\"true\" data-scroll=\"false\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\"><h5 id=\"at-287611\" class=\"c-accordion__title js-accordion-controller\" role=\"button\">Tell me more about choice context fit<\/h5><div id=\"ac-287611\" class=\"c-accordion__content\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Beliefs should strengthen an attitude more when they are applied in situations to which they seem <strong>relevant, legitimate<\/strong>, and <strong>important<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Information is <strong>relevant<\/strong> when it is applied to the right product category. Example: &#8220;I know HP make good business computers, but who knows if they are any good for gaming&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Information is <strong>legitimate<\/strong> when is diagnostic &#8211; i.e., logically helps you diagnose a useful outcome. Example: a 1-star review for a lawnmower might be diagnostic of poor performance if the attached comment said &#8220;broke after 2 uses&#8221;, but not if it said &#8220;shipping was very slow&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Information is <strong>important<\/strong> if it is about the things I find most useful. Example: It might be relevant and legitimate to know that &#8220;this Sony headphone has exceptional sound clarity&#8221;, but I still might not find that important if I only want to listen to spoken-word podcasts, so I don&#8217;t care about precise treble.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Beliefs fit with our emotions when our hearts and minds are pulling us in the same direction. Our beliefs create feelings, and our feelings reinforce beliefs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-pb-accordion-item c-accordion__item js-accordion-item no-js\" data-initially-open=\"false\" data-click-to-close=\"true\" data-auto-close=\"true\" data-scroll=\"false\" data-scroll-offset=\"0\"><h5 id=\"at-287612\" class=\"c-accordion__title js-accordion-controller\" role=\"button\">Tell me more about emotional fit:<\/h5><div id=\"ac-287612\" class=\"c-accordion__content\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Beliefs and emotions can create a feedback loop. Your positive beliefs make you like a thing (e.g., belief: kittens are fluffy, emotion: awww) and, at the same time, your positive emotions make those beliefs feel more true (<a href=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/?p=2445\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/?p=2445\">recall<\/a>, we often use emotions as a source of information).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Example: If I feel warmly towards Puma shoes, I might be quick to believe that they do a lot of good charity work#up. This positive belief might make me like them even more. And that feedback loop might make me very resistant when someone tries to criticise my Puma footwear.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. This is an example of a 'halo effect': we tend to believe good things about people and products we like, and vice versa for ones we don't <span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-YV69XMYS--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': 'np', 'items': '{4193465:YV69XMYS}', 'format': '(%a%, %d%, %p%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span>.<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Note that negative emotions can sometimes create positive beliefs about a product. For example, fear might make me want to believe good things about my home insurance and security camera. It gives me a reason to value their protection.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Give an example of how to apply this<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Say you are struggling to convince consumers to buy super-efficient barbeques. When you explain the joys of less wasted heat when they grill, they smile and nod, but then buy another brand. Their attitude is positive but weak. Why?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Maybe their belief in your efficiency is too weak (they&#8217;ve never considered how many BTU&#8217;s a barbecue should use, and neither has anyone else they know). Maybe they don&#8217;t see efficiency as relevant for barbeques (&#8220;just make the food hot, grr!&#8221;). Maybe efficiency is not a very emotional topic for them. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That analysis might suggest reframing your messaging: Maybe describe the money they would save on fuel, or the air pollution they would avoid? Those might be more relevant or carry more emotions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"progression-models\">Progression models<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The models above all describe what people are thinking at the moment that they decide whether to adopt some new way of behaving (be that quitting smoking or buying new virtual reality glasses). There are other models, though, that focus on how changes can progress over time, often unfolding slowly and in stages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How people adopt change over time<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The &#8220;transtheoretic model&#8221; <span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-AN9BYJJX--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': 'np', 'items': '{4193465:AN9BYJJX}', 'format': '(%a%, %d%, %p%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span> describes six psychological stages that people go through in making a big change (or in failing to make it). It is usually studied in the context of health-related changes, such as to one&#8217;s diet or exercise, but it could be equally applied to any other deliberate and lasting changes to consumption practices, such as trying to reduce one&#8217;s environmental impact. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These stages are:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Precontemplation \n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>No intention to act, and often little or no awareness that anything needs changing<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Contemplation\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Beginning to see that there are upsides and downsides to continuing as they currently are, and that there may be an alternative<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Preparation\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Forming intentions to act, and maybe taking small steps towards it (learning more, evaluation of alternatives)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Action\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Making the change &#8211; showing up at the gym, cooking the new foods, reducing their driving, etc<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Maintenance\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Having sustained the change for at least six months &#8211; looking to avoid falling back into old habits or temptations<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Termination\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>No longer even tempted by, or thinking about, the old ways. The process of changing has ended&#8230; in change!<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You can see from this description that this model applies best to changes that are big, difficult, and deliberate. Switching from an Apple phone to an Android ones (or vice versa) does not take six months of sustained effort once the initial switch is made. But smaller changes like that one may still follow a similar overall pattern, if perhaps in more compressed ways.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We should emphasise here that this model (like all models!) is a simplified generalization. Any individual person might skip quickly through some steps (or skip them entirely) will getting stuck in others, or may go off in directions that don&#8217;t fit these descriptions closely at all. The usefulness of the model is that it gives you a good idea of what you might be likely to expect when you are considering some relevant situation. If you can say &#8220;really this person seems to be in a precontemplation phase&#8221; then you have given a potential useful description of where they are at, which you might then tailor to their more particular individual situation. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How groups of people adopt innovations over time<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When we listed the diffusion of Innovation model in the table above, it was listing the predictions it makes for which types of innovations will spread the fastest, but this model also describes the stages that new innovations go through as they spread through a population <span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-FEDNNKGP--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': 'np', 'items': '{4193465:FEDNNKGP}', 'format': '(%a%, %d%, %p%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span>. This is the most well-known part of the theory &#8211; you may have encountered it elsewhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These stages are somewhat parallel to the one in the Transtheoretical model, except that they apply to an entire population of consumers#up, rather than a single person.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. \"Consumers\" in this model can refer to individual people, but also to organizations (such as firms, hospitals, or even entire countries)<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Innovators\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The first 2 or 3% of the total audience. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Often people with high involvement in whatever the innovation is (electronics, software, cosmetics, etc), and some willingness to explore and embrace uncertainty<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Early Adopters\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The next 10-15% of the total audience. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If these people start buying, then sales will start ticking up slightly, but will still be small overall. There can often be a lot of genuine uncertainty at this point over whether these slow sales are the maximum that the product will ever achieve, or whether they are just an early point in its growth.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Early Majority\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The next third of the total adopters. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The reason that growth speeds up so much here is often because the product has built a big enough &#8216;critical mass&#8217; of users. This means that many other consumers now have the opportunity to observe the innovation being used and learn about it this way, instead of having to discover it on their own (perhaps through marketing or news sources). The easier it is for people to see others using the product (e.g., hats are more observable than underwear#up), the faster this portion of the growth should take off <span class=\"zp-InText-zp-ID--4193465-29EDMBHS--wp2876 zp-InText-Citation loading\" rel=\"{ 'pages': 'np', 'items': '{4193465:29EDMBHS}', 'format': '(%a%, %d%, %p%)', 'brackets': '', 'etal': '', 'separator': '', 'and': '' }\"><\/span>. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Late Majority\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The next third of the total adopters<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This is still a large number of people in absolute terms, but the rate of growth will be slowing, as the innovation starts running out of people who are would be potentially interested in using it, but that haven&#8217;t come across it yet already<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Laggards\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The final 15% or so<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>There are some people who just don&#8217;t like changing their patterns, are averse to new things, or who simply weren&#8217;t in the market until now. This is the final slow phase of market penetration, as the last few potential consumers finally get around to adopting the innovation.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n<div class=\"brxe-div footnote_anchor\"><div class=\"brxe-div footnote_shifter\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">#down. In most places, one would hope!<\/pre>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Last thought: How useful are all these models?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;I see all of this, But come on!&#8221; We hear you say, &#8220;If I&#8217;ve got an actual applied business problem, in all its real-world messiness, can I really just plug it into one of these simple models with its 3-6 key factors, and get anywhere good at all?&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That&#8217;s a tough question! You aren&#8217;t letting us off easy here!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The answer is that if you can find the right model, then that is often a very good starting point. It won&#8217;t be the whole answer, because these models are simplified maps that only show the general shape that broad classes of problems tend to fall into. A real-life expert will have many of these models in their mind, and will quickly sift through them when they find a new problem, searching for good insights&#8230; and then they will leave the models behind and tailor their answer to the unique details of their situation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Developing deep expertise in an area is often a process of starting by learning the basic models, and then learning how to outgrow them. For those who are interested here&#8217;s a nice <a href=\"https:\/\/www.richardhughesjones.com\/mental-models\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.richardhughesjones.com\/mental-models\/\">blog post<\/a> that makes this point in more detail (also, notice that it is content marketing! It is written by someone trying to build credibility with an audience for their consulting business).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">{pods_post_review}<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<div id='zp-InTextBib-zotpress-a23577ef8a127cecc54368b5353fc226' class='zp-Zotpress zp-Zotpress-InTextBib wp-block-group zp-Post-2876'>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_ITEM_KEY ZP_ATTR\">{4193465:SPYSL3DY};{4193465:GQACXLNB},{4193465:GRRSULSC};{4193465:GRRSULSC};{4193465:GRRSULSC};{4193465:GRRSULSC};{4193465:E8PVT4DX};{4193465:34KV4B2A};{4193465:BE5GEDCM};{4193465:NDHJCEXI};{4193465:C87M7TEW};{4193465:SPYSL3DY};{4193465:BE5GEDCM};{4193465:YV69XMYS};{4193465:AN9BYJJX};{4193465:FEDNNKGP};{4193465:29EDMBHS}<\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_STYLE ZP_ATTR\">apa<\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_SORTBY ZP_ATTR\">creator<\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_ORDER ZP_ATTR\">asc<\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_TITLE ZP_ATTR\"><\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_SHOWIMAGE ZP_ATTR\"><\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_SHOWTAGS ZP_ATTR\"><\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_DOWNLOADABLE ZP_ATTR\"><\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_NOTES ZP_ATTR\"><\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_ABSTRACT ZP_ATTR\"><\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_CITEABLE ZP_ATTR\"><\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_TARGET ZP_ATTR\"><\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_URLWRAP ZP_ATTR\"><\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_FORCENUM ZP_ATTR\">0<\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_HIGHLIGHT ZP_ATTR\"><\/span>\r\n\t\t<span class=\"ZP_POSTID ZP_ATTR\">2876<\/span><div class='zp-List loading'>\n<div class=\"zp-SEO-Content\"><\/div><!-- .zp-zp-SEO-Content -->\n<\/div><!-- .zp-List --><\/div><!--.zp-Zotpress-->\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What will we do? Can it be changed? A famous model says it depends on our attitude, subjective norms, and perceived behavioural control<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3035,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"chapter":[20],"exclude_from_index":[16],"class_list":["post-2876","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","chapter-8-communications-1-foundations","exclude_from_index-include"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2876","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2876"}],"version-history":[{"count":20,"href":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2876\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4216,"href":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2876\/revisions\/4216"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3035"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2876"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2876"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2876"},{"taxonomy":"chapter","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/chapter?post=2876"},{"taxonomy":"exclude_from_index","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/illuminated-text.com\/cb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/exclude_from_index?post=2876"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}